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Hi everyone, my name is Joseph Antoine Migdilani today I am with Karim Zakher our portfolio manager. Welcome to our quarterly web capsule, before we start I want to remind you that the reason why we do these capsules is to inform, educate and keep you posted with the world of finance so don't forget to subscribe if you like our videos and to share with family and friends, we’re going to be very happy if you do so and if you have any questions don't hesitate to reach us after the video. So, because we are in the tax season I just want to start by two little points, the first one is that the government of Canada decided to remove his new rule with the tax inclusion for the capital gain we're going back to the original where 50% will be taxable on capital gain that's great news um of course it happens during an election period but uh we'll take it it's candy and we'll definitely take it and we’ll see what happens in the future if they reverse that rule again after they get elected but anyway that's that’s, that’s another story we'll see but we'll take it absolutely and the second point is that I wanted to let you know that all the tax slip or fiscal documents are now available online so for our clients you could go on our website or national bank financial website to get that and to send it to your accountant before the April 30th, for the tax of 2024. So now let’s talk about the market right uh how do you feel Karim about the market right now and uh let's talk about the first quarter a little bit as well yeah so the first quarter uh Joseph uh it's two words tariff trump that's all I got to say uh thing is we've had a correction in the month of March these corrections happen,10% corrections for the S&P 500 tend to happen every 18 months on average so we're pretty much at that point and um there is a new index that's out it's called uh the macro research economic policy index that exists since 1985 it measures the level of uncertainty among investors in the US in particular might be pretty high right now it's at a peak and whenever it's at a peak the S&P 500 after the correction occurs the S&P 500 has a tendency to go up 80% of the time really with an average return of 8.8% now nothing's guaranteed nothing's set in stone sure but it's we'll take it we'll take it, I think it's a positive.A positive index so when we reach peak uncertainty honestly it's the time to be buying not selling and I'm going to give you examples very recent examples uh that most people already most likely forgot the corrections 2018 2020 and 2022, a lot of people say some people are going to say we had a correction in 2018 we certainly did it was Trump 1.0 was his first mandate yeahthe fourth quarter of 2018 particularlybetween Christmas and New Year's we hada pretty big drop in the markets for theexact same reason trump tariffs what happened afterwards is 2019 while the markets went up 2020 I think everybody remembers that one it's the pandemic where we had a V-shaped Yeah correction yeah uh we've had cases some clients who couldn't take it they was the end of the world they wanted out i got them out unfortunately at the wrong time, i suggested not to do that they did it any some of them did it anyway the majority 99% listen but 1% do what they feel is best for them which is fine I I totally respect that and they liquidated at the worst possible time and what happened the central banks plowed a lot of liquidity into the world markets and guess what happened market rebounded and it actually the year 2020 was a positive year for the market believe it or was not greatly positive but it was positive where we were down like 20 to 25% at one point remember and then the most recent correction other than this one is 2022 uh if you remember interest rates were virtually at zero and the and the central banks raised rates all the way up to like 5% I shouldn't say all central banks the US Federal Reserve did and Canada followed so rates went really went up really fast and we had a market correction and a bond market correction because when rates go up bonds go down simultaneously and we only saw that four times in the last 100 years where the bond market and the stock market drops at the same time joseph what happened in 2023 and 2024 amazing years phenomenal years afterwards talk to people in 2024 remember that correction uh what correction they completely forgot but when it was in the middle of a correction it's like the end of the world we should get out we should try and time it and get back in no no no it's a big big mistake to time the markets okay I keep saying that so this is another correction where uh discounts are almost everywhere uh the main reason for this correction exactly is Trump and tariffs but uh what sector really dropped it's the magnificent 7 which was the best performing sectors over the last two years so the Max 7 which is really implicated in the artificial intelligence is not to be avoided you got to stay in it's the future artificial intelligence a lot of companies are integrating this technology in their business network it's happening more and more and so we're at the infancy stage and I believe has a long way to go the other 493 of the S&P 500 stocks held pretty well but it's really the MAX 7 that really took a dive so um I do see coming back and what about Tesla Karim so for those who hold the discretionary portfolios we sold Tesla we sold the entire position for the simple reason that it's become unfortunately too political and too toxic yeah uh it's too bad because we bought Tesla in January 2023 at about $142 to $143 USD a share right we exited the position entirely at 308 uh clients made over 100% and in addition to that I had sold even prior to that in the 400 range for some clients well most clients because I rebalance portfolios and so we took some profits off but we sold the entire position at 308 okay this quarter. So for those uh who want to know what we purchased instead of Tesla I will refer you to our quarterly mandate, a quarterly brief letter that we send out to all our discretionary clients only which discusses the ins and the outs what we bought what we sold so we may revisit Tesla because I think it's phenomenal company yeah I love the product they're the most advanced in in EV technology of any another car companies and so we will revisit if Trump gets if sorry if Elon gets out of the government or out of Tesla one or the other we'll reconsider it good to know so uh I just want to repeat it's an ideal time to remain invested and if you're sitting on cash on the sidelines it's a fantastic time to get in because in a year or two this correction will be forgotten as well absolutely and I can assure you that most likely your portfolios will be going up over the next 5 years maybe not up over the next 5 months but over the next 5 years your portfolios will most likely go up just want to give a couple of examples uh where to prove to you that we're not traders we're more of a buy and hold type of investor uh we had bought Apple uh the stock back in September 2013 we hold we hold for a long time i'll hold forever if I could okay and we bought the stock at 17 USD per share pre-split adjusted to all the splits today as of April uh the 1st the stock is at $223 a share now when it was at 17 it did go to 50 it dropped back down to 30 some clients are saying "Why didn't you get out at 50?" It's because I'm a buy and hold I don't trade why don't I Why don't we trade it's very taxable uh it's a lot of work for your accountant and it just it's not the right approach to investing that’s not how you generate wealth by trading in and out most traders have a hard time making money because they don't know their direction it's very especially with Trump there yeah we don't know what to own yeah so the key is to be diver to own a little bit of everything in the right sectors as best as we can and hang tight and uh that's a performance of over uh over 10 fold that's amazing there's gold as well I think gold is another one where we buy and hold we had bought gold uh the Royal Canadian Mint which is kind of like a certificate that trades it reflects gold bullion not gold mining companies but gold bullion uh we bought that in January 2018 at $17.67 a share today it's at $48 a share Canadian okay um and I could tell you gold is under owned people don't like gold I don't know why gold is a refuge when things go bad and gold is an excellent portfolio diversifier everybody should hold gold and all our discretionary portfolios have quite a significant holding in gold and uh it's under owned and I believe gold's going to be going higher and I also think Kareem that a good example you could give is 2022 when the market like bonds stocks went down gold went up exactly and if actually I look at gold's performance over the last three years versus the S&P 500 gold has done a performance of 16.87% very good annually over the last 3 years versus the S&P at 9% wow which goes to show diversification creates great opportunity it lowers your volatility and it enhances your return and that's what I call alpha you want to get those performing uh pieces in your portfolio that create that alpha and I'll just finish by saying the S&P in the first quarter uh lost 4% the TSX was a little bit above being flat uh and the good news is all our portfolios whether you have the most conservative of them all which is the revenue portfolio all the way up to the max growth portfolio the performance is at least 1% if not higher excellent for all our discretionary portfolios in the first quarter so I'm very happy to see that and I'm going to finish with if you're not comfortable with volatility I'm going to repeat this and I tell this often to clients if you're not comfortable with seeing your portfolio being volatile dropping 5% even 10% in any one moment in order to make more money down the road if you're not comfortable doing that put your money in a GIC they'll give you 3% but know this inflation is 3% and then you get taxed on the 3% so you lose one and a half% because most people are at 50% tax bracket you're guaranteed to have a loss of 1 and a.5% if you buy these types of products yeah it won't go down the value of your money will go down so this is where diversifying holding stocks holding bonds holding gold holding euros holding US uh USD holding yen holding Australian dollars make all the difference in your portfolio over a longer period of time and when I say long term I'm always focused on five years yeah well said thank you Karim um I want to remind you like I said at the beginning of the video that if you have any questions concern feel free to reach out we're here to help and to assist and uh I want to say thank you for listening to the video and we'll see you soon.

Hello everyone and Welcome to our Q2 2024 web capsule. I'm here with Joseph Antoine MCD Delani, our financial planner, and myself Karim Zakher, your portfolio manager. We're going to break this capsule down into two segments. The first one being little brief discussion on the uh capital gains tax inclusion that was imposed as of June 25th 2024 by the federal government. And then we'll talk about uh the market the situation uh we're in right now which is quite positive but we have to also reflect on 25 years of Economic and financial history that we'll touch on a little bit because it could determine where we're headed going into the future. So uh on that note let's begin with the capital gains inclusion rate information. Perfect Karim. Okay so let's discuss now about the capital gain new tax rule inclusion. So before we start uh what's a capital gain? Very simple. Capital game is when you buy an investment and you resell the same investment at a higher price that you purchase the investment initially. So I did a small um case here where someone is buying for example a second property or rental property at a price of 500,000 and is reselling the property at a price of 1 million. So in this case there will be a capital gain of 500,000. Before the new the new rule um the capital gain was taxable at 50%. Now things are a little bit different. Um you will have the first portion of 200 thou 250,000 that will be taxable at 50% but the second portion of 250,000 will be taxable well 66.67% will be included in your taxable income. So this being said if we add these two to together 290,000 for this transaction will be added to your taxable income compared to before June 25th the tax the added amount would be would have be 250,000. So for the same situation with the new rule 40,000 more will be added to your taxable income uh which is going to bring me to my second Point. Uh the type of revenues inside of a portfolio. You usually or investment you usually have three types of revenues. So you will have interest dividends and capital gain. So let's take this example for someone that is in the higher tax bracket. Um the interests are taxable at 53.3%. Dividends are taxable at 40%. And before the new rule capital gain were taxable at 26.7%. So it was a no-brainer before uh capital gains were the best choice of uh revenues because they were the less taxable. But with the new rule now 35.5% becomes taxable. Uh third topic here is the holding uh companies and the trust. So that rule is the new rule is applying directly on the first dollar of capital gain that is generated. So that makes a huge difference. That makes a huge difference for the capital gain exemption for the operating company. Before the new budget and the new rule it was 1 million that was Exempted as a capital gain when you're selling an operating company. Now the new amount is 1,250,000 that is possible to be exempt from a capital gain selling of a business. Thank you very much Joseph. Very pertinent uh could be very important to a lot of people. It's important to say that if you encounter this situation and you're fortunate enough to make a very large capital gain and you don't want to be hit with the high income taxes give us a call because we have certain tax shelters that are made available to our clients such as flow through shares. It's something I have to explain uh in more detail. I can do it on the uh capsule. You could run it by your accountant your tax specialist and see if it maybe is to your advantage. Let's jump now into the second topic. Uh Karim you've been in the industry for many years now. A portfolio managers for many years as well. Um I want to ask you the question what did the market teach you during the last 25 years? Let's begin with what's going on now. So the markets are uh doing very well. Uh and Main re main participants in this market that's pulling the market up since actually January 1st 2023 are the Magnificent Seven companies. The technology sector. And it's all because of artificial intelligence. It is going to be fundamental. Let's look back at time first. Okay. Let's Zoom back and get it and see what happened over the last 25 years. Okay so we've been through a lot. Okay. Uh especially me being in this industry. I've been through a lot in more than 25 years by the way. But let's just go back 25 years. So we've been through the technology bubble back in 1999. Had you invested in the NASDAQ which is comprised of technology stocks uh at the peak of the bubble in 1999 uh and the bubble of course we all know it burst in 2000 uh it would have taken you 14 years to recuperate your money. Now if you were smart enough to invest a year prior to the to the peak of that bubble it would have taken you 11 years to recuperate your money. So um we must remember that these scenarios can unfold. Right. In addition to the bubble I mean we've had in over the last 25 years wars. We've had terrorism. Uh we've had our housing crisis in the United States. A financial crisis around the world. And more recently we all remember the pandemic. Uh and so we have to also look at the fact that Cycles do repeat themselves to a certain degree. They're not identical but they do rhyme. And eventually in the next five maybe seven years something's going to happen. It's expected. And the only way to mitigate one's portfolio is to be properly Diversified. Which means that you need to buy uncorrelated assets within the portfolio. It's our responsibility to manage the risk within a portfolio. And often I get asked well why isn't this company why isn't this stock going up and why is that thing not doing you know anything. Uh simple reason is you don't want everything to be correlated. What's going up today may not go up tomorrow. And what's not gone up today is probably going to go up tomorrow. So you want to have an uncorrelated portfolio. You want to be Diversified. Because diversification is like an insurance policy. It protects you from situations like 1999. By studying economic and financial history you'll have a better grasp as to what can happen. And it will happen. It's just a matter of time. Right. Right now we're enjoying a nice rally. I'm expecting it to continue until the end of the year. It will not be a straight line. Expect volatility. But the reason there's a rally is because like I said earlier artificial intelligence is going to change the world. It's beginning to change the world. Just like the electric light bulb changed the world. Just like the automobile changed the world. Just like the internet changed the world. Look what we're doing right now Joseph. We're communicating through the internet. Something we could not be we could not do 25 years ago. So the world is going to change. And we've got to change with it. We got to be invested in the right sectors in order to profit from it. But uh at the same time we must always be vigilant that uh things can happen. It could turn on a dime. So uh I'm still very hopeful. It's also good news that the Bank of Canada lowered its interest rate by a quarter point uh last June. Uh it looks like there's going to be another couple of drops between now and the end of the year with their interest rates. That's going to be positive for final assets. The Central Bank in the United States or I should say the Federal Reserve in the United States is also looking to lower rates. So expect a couple of drops between now and the end of the year. Again positive for the markets. Throwing in the fact that there are people sitting with at least six trillion dollars in cash on the sidelines. Uh this is eventually going to make its way into the market. Because this is the least liked bull market I've ever seen. Or one of the least liked bull markets I've seen. Many are not participating. That's not the case for our clients. Because our portfolios are doing well along with the markets. Uh but there are many people sitting on the sidelines waiting for Armageddon. And uh and you know things to collapse. And it never really goes that bad. Okay. When markets go well people think it's going to continue to go well. And when markets go badly like in 2020 during the pandemic people have this belief that it's just going to keep going bad forever. It's not the case. Markets work in Cycles. On that note I want to say thank you for listening to us. Enjoy your summer. We'll be back in October just before the US election. So that's going to be interesting. Uh to see what transpires with that. See you soon. Bye.

Hello everyone and Welcome to our Q2 2024 web capsule. I'm here with Joseph Antoine MCD Delani, our financial planner, and myself Karim Zakher, your portfolio manager. We're going to break this capsule down into two segments. The first one being little brief discussion on the uh capital gains tax inclusion that was imposed as of June 25th 2024 by the federal government. And then we'll talk about uh the market the situation uh we're in right now which is quite positive but we have to also reflect on 25 years of Economic and financial history that we'll touch on a little bit because it could determine where we're headed going into the future. So uh on that note let's begin with the capital gains inclusion rate information. Perfect Karim. Okay so let's discuss now about the capital gain new tax rule inclusion. So before we start uh what's a capital gain? Very simple. Capital game is when you buy an investment and you resell the same investment at a higher price that you purchase the investment initially. So I did a small um case here where someone is buying for example a second property or rental property at a price of 500,000 and is reselling the property at a price of 1 million. So in this case there will be a capital gain of 500,000. Before the new the new rule um the capital gain was taxable at 50%. Now things are a little bit different. Um you will have the first portion of 200 thou 250,000 that will be taxable at 50% but the second portion of 250,000 will be taxable well 66.67% will be included in your taxable income. So this being said if we add these two to together 290,000 for this transaction will be added to your taxable income compared to before June 25th the tax the added amount would be would have be 250,000. So for the same situation with the new rule 40,000 more will be added to your taxable income uh which is going to bring me to my second Point. Uh the type of revenues inside of a portfolio. You usually or investment you usually have three types of revenues. So you will have interest dividends and capital gain. So let's take this example for someone that is in the higher tax bracket. Um the interests are taxable at 53.3%. Dividends are taxable at 40%. And before the new rule capital gain were taxable at 26.7%. So it was a no-brainer before uh capital gains were the best choice of uh revenues because they were the less taxable. But with the new rule now 35.5% becomes taxable. Uh third topic here is the holding uh companies and the trust. So that rule is the new rule is applying directly on the first dollar of capital gain that is generated. So that makes a huge difference. That makes a huge difference for the capital gain exemption for the operating company. Before the new budget and the new rule it was 1 million that was Exempted as a capital gain when you're selling an operating company. Now the new amount is 1,250,000 that is possible to be exempt from a capital gain selling of a business. Thank you very much Joseph. Very pertinent uh could be very important to a lot of people. It's important to say that if you encounter this situation and you're fortunate enough to make a very large capital gain and you don't want to be hit with the high income taxes give us a call because we have certain tax shelters that are made available to our clients such as flow through shares. It's something I have to explain uh in more detail. I can do it on the uh capsule. You could run it by your accountant your tax specialist and see if it maybe is to your advantage. Let's jump now into the second topic. Uh Karim you've been in the industry for many years now. A portfolio managers for many years as well. Um I want to ask you the question what did the market teach you during the last 25 years? Let's begin with what's going on now. So the markets are uh doing very well. Uh and Main re main participants in this market that's pulling the market up since actually January 1st 2023 are the Magnificent Seven companies. The technology sector. And it's all because of artificial intelligence. It is going to be fundamental. Let's look back at time first. Okay. Let's Zoom back and get it and see what happened over the last 25 years. Okay so we've been through a lot. Okay. Uh especially me being in this industry. I've been through a lot in more than 25 years by the way. But let's just go back 25 years. So we've been through the technology bubble back in 1999. Had you invested in the NASDAQ which is comprised of technology stocks uh at the peak of the bubble in 1999 uh and the bubble of course we all know it burst in 2000 uh it would have taken you 14 years to recuperate your money. Now if you were smart enough to invest a year prior to the to the peak of that bubble it would have taken you 11 years to recuperate your money. So um we must remember that these scenarios can unfold. Right. In addition to the bubble I mean we've had in over the last 25 years wars. We've had terrorism. Uh we've had our housing crisis in the United States. A financial crisis around the world. And more recently we all remember the pandemic. Uh and so we have to also look at the fact that Cycles do repeat themselves to a certain degree. They're not identical but they do rhyme. And eventually in the next five maybe seven years something's going to happen. It's expected. And the only way to mitigate one's portfolio is to be properly Diversified. Which means that you need to buy uncorrelated assets within the portfolio. It's our responsibility to manage the risk within a portfolio. And often I get asked well why isn't this company why isn't this stock going up and why is that thing not doing you know anything. Uh simple reason is you don't want everything to be correlated. What's going up today may not go up tomorrow. And what's not gone up today is probably going to go up tomorrow. So you want to have an uncorrelated portfolio. You want to be Diversified. Because diversification is like an insurance policy. It protects you from situations like 1999. By studying economic and financial history you'll have a better grasp as to what can happen. And it will happen. It's just a matter of time. Right. Right now we're enjoying a nice rally. I'm expecting it to continue until the end of the year. It will not be a straight line. Expect volatility. But the reason there's a rally is because like I said earlier artificial intelligence is going to change the world. It's beginning to change the world. Just like the electric light bulb changed the world. Just like the automobile changed the world. Just like the internet changed the world. Look what we're doing right now Joseph. We're communicating through the internet. Something we could not be we could not do 25 years ago. So the world is going to change. And we've got to change with it. We got to be invested in the right sectors in order to profit from it. But uh at the same time we must always be vigilant that uh things can happen. It could turn on a dime. So uh I'm still very hopeful. It's also good news that the Bank of Canada lowered its interest rate by a quarter point uh last June. Uh it looks like there's going to be another couple of drops between now and the end of the year with their interest rates. That's going to be positive for final assets. The Central Bank in the United States or I should say the Federal Reserve in the United States is also looking to lower rates. So expect a couple of drops between now and the end of the year. Again positive for the markets. Throwing in the fact that there are people sitting with at least six trillion dollars in cash on the sidelines. Uh this is eventually going to make its way into the market. Because this is the least liked bull market I've ever seen. Or one of the least liked bull markets I've seen. Many are not participating. That's not the case for our clients. Because our portfolios are doing well along with the markets. Uh but there are many people sitting on the sidelines waiting for Armageddon. And uh and you know things to collapse. And it never really goes that bad. Okay. When markets go well people think it's going to continue to go well. And when markets go badly like in 2020 during the pandemic people have this belief that it's just going to keep going bad forever. It's not the case. Markets work in Cycles. On that note I want to say thank you for listening to us. Enjoy your summer. We'll be back in October just before the US election. So that's going to be interesting. Uh to see what transpires with that. See you soon. Bye.