On September 16th, the federal government announced
substantial regulatory reform which hasn’t received a lot of press but
will have a significant positive impact on our economy. Specifically,
the government removed the duplicative Impact Assessment Act (“IAA”)
review for specific energy projects. This change is positive for the
Canadian economy and especially positive for Alberta. The clearest
near-term beneficiaries are large, natural-gas fired generation
projects, pipelines and power lines crossing provincial or
international borders, offshore renewables, and qualifying in situ oil
sands facilities. Projects will continue to undergo regulatory and
environmental scrutiny, but without a superfluous IAA review process
layered on top.
PM Carney made the announcement ahead of the Canada Investment
Summit held earlier this month in Toronto as a positive message to
investors that Canada intends to improve the conditions for
major-project investment. Importantly, removing the IAA review doesn’t
eliminate an environmental review. Hearings, assessments, Indigenous
rights and the Crown's duty to consult remain, as do approvals under
statutes such as the Fisheries Act and Canadian Navigable Waters Act.
The duplicative and harmful IAA review process was created by the
infamous Bill C-69 in 2019 by the Trudeau government. You may recall
Bill C-69 referred to as the “No More Pipelines” Bill due to the
massive regulatory burden it placed on energy infrastructure projects
such as pipelines.
This week’s chart highlights the decline Canada has experienced in
terms of our relative industrial competitiveness. We were ranked
5th globally in 2000 and have fallen to 19th as
of 2023. The increasing federal regulatory burden attributed to the
Trudeau government is one of the factors driving this decline. Other
factors include taxation, labour costs, and lack of productivity
growth due to underinvestment. Removing the duplicative IAA review
process from major energy projects doesn’t fix all that ails Canadian
competitiveness, but it does send a very positive and very different
message from our federal government to global investors.
The change in messaging and priorities from the Trudeau to the
Carney government has been very stark indeed. To my knowledge, the
shift in tone has been more dramatic from Trudeau to Carney under the
Liberal banner than any other successive change in leadership within
the same party in Canadian political history. The federal government
has moved swiftly from the number one priority being virtue signaling
to economic growth and resilience. How much of this shift has been
driven by a response to President Trump’s trade policies vs. economic
pragmatism and common sense is up for debate.
The term ‘useful idiot’ originates from the Cold War and was first
published in the New York Times in June of 1948. It was a phrase
adopted by Western political commentators to describe journalists,
politicians, and intellectuals who praised Soviet regimes while
ignoring human rights abuses. For how long have Canadian politicians
been ‘useful idiots’ for the United Sates? When we fail as a nation to
build the required infrastructure to diversify our exports to Europe
and Asia while selling our products to the U.S at a discount,
weakening our economy and tax base, we have nobody but ourselves to
blame. It was a massive strategic error to prioritize virtue signaling
over building energy infrastructure and it’s unfortunate that it took
an attack from our largest trading partner for many Canadians to
understand just how ‘useful’ our some of our politicians have been to
the United Sates.